Helmut Norpoth
Professor of Political Science
Stony Brook University
631.632.7640
Norpoth has written or contributed to the following books as co-author or co-editor:
The American Voter Revisited (2008; co-author)
Politics and Government in Europe Today (1995; co-author) Confidence Regained: Economics, Mrs. Thatcher and the British
Voter (1992)
Economics and Politics: The Calculus of Support (1991; co-editor)
In addition, his articles on voting and public opinion have appeared in the leading professional journals. His special areas of interest currently are wartime elections, historical changes in partisanship (realignments), and forecasting of elections.
Publications of Election Forecasts:
U.S. Elections:
“From Primary to General Election: A Forecast of the Presidential Vote,” PS: Political Science and Politics 37 (October 2004), 737-740.
British Elections:
“The PM and the Pendulum: Dynamic Forecasting of British Elections,” (with Matthew Lebo), British Journal of Political Science 37 (2007), 71-87.
German Elections:
“The Red-Green Victory: Against All Odds?” (with Thomas Gschwend), German Politics and Society 21 (Spring 2003), 15-34.
Norpoth holds an M.A. and Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Michigan. He has previously taught at the Universities of Texas, Arizona, and Cologne, Germany, as well as in the ECPR summer school on quantitative methods. He regularly assists the New York Times with its Election night analysis and has served as a polling analyst for the Foreign Policy Association.
